1️⃣ Trend & Market Structure (SMC)

• Main Trend: Bearish, price remains below both EMA50 and EMA200.
• Break of Structure (BoS): Price is showing signs of recovery but remains unclear.
• Supply Zone (Resistance): $88,000 – $96,000 (Liquidity area + VPVR).
• Demand Zone (Support): $76,500 – $80,000 (Previous low + Volume support).

2️⃣ Volume Profile (VPVR)

• POC (Point of Control): ~$96,641 (Strong resistance).
• High Volume Node (HVN): $90,000 – $96,000 (Significant selling pressure).
• Low Volume Node (LVN): ~$80,000 (Breaking this level may trigger further downside).

3️⃣ EMA (Exponential Moving Averages)

1. EMA200 (Purple): ~$90,092 – Price remains below EMA200, confirming the bearish trend.
2. EMA50 (Red): ~$84,352 – Price is currently retesting this level.

🔹 Needs to break EMA50 for a potential recovery toward EMA200.

🔹 If rejected at EMA50, the downtrend is likely to continue.

4️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index)

RSI (14): ~52.47 – Neutral, no strong overbought or oversold signals.

🎯 Trading Strategy

📉 Short Scenario (If Price Gets Rejected at EMA50)

Entry: $84,000 – $85,000 (EMA50 + VPVR Resistance).

Stop Loss: $86,000.

Take Profit:

• TP1: $82,000.
• TP2: $80,000.
• TP3: $76,500.

Condition: RSI stays below 55 + price rejection at EMA50.

📈 Long Scenario (If Price Holds Support and Breaks Above EMA50)

Entry: $80,000 – $81,500 (VPVR Support + Demand Zone).

Stop Loss: $78,000.

Take Profit:

• TP1: $84,000.
• TP2: $86,500.
• TP3: $90,000 (EMA200).

Condition: Price holds above EMA50 + RSI sustains above 55.

5️⃣ Conclusion

• Main Trend: Bearish, but testing EMA50.
• Key Resistance: $84,000 – $86,000 (EMA50 + VPVR).
• Strong Support: $76,500 – $80,000 (Volume Profile support zone).
• Main Strategy: Wait for breakout confirmation or short in line with the trend.

⚠️ Watch price action around EMA50 carefully before entering a trade! 🚀

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