ETH/USDT Analysis – 4H Timeframe (March 14)

ETH/USDT Analysis – 4H Timeframe (March 14)

1️⃣ ETH Trends & Market Structure (SMC)

  • Main Trend: Strong Downtrend, price is below EMA50 and EMA200.
  • Break of Structure (BoS): Price continues to form lower lows, confirming the downtrend.
  • Supply Zone (Resistance): $2,400 – $2,800 (High liquidity zone + VPVR).
  • Demand Zone (Support): $1,750 – $1,800 (Recent bottom zone + Support volume).

2️⃣ Volume Profile (VPVR)

  • POC (Point of Control): ~$2,175 (Key resistance).
  • High Volume Node (HVN): $2,000 – $2,400 (Strong selling pressure).
  • Low Volume Node (LVN): ~$1,750 (If breached, the price may decline further).

3️⃣ EMA (Exponential Moving Average)

  • EMA200: ~$2,932 – Price is far below EMA200, indicating a strong downtrend.
  • EMA50: ~$2,704 – Still acting as a major dynamic resistance.

🔹 The price needs to break above EMA50 to signal a recovery.

🔹 If rejected at EMA50, the downtrend may continue.

4️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index)

  • RSI (14): ~34.23 – Near the oversold zone but no strong recovery signals yet.

 

ETH trend H4 14/3

🎯 Trading Strategy

📉 Short Scenario (Following the main trend)

Entry: $1,850 – $1,900 (Minor pullback before further decline).

Stop Loss: $1,950.

Take Profit:

  • TP1: $1,800.
  • TP2: $1,750.
  • TP3: $1,650.

Condition: Price rejection at $1,850 – $1,900 zone, RSI remains below 40.

📈 Long Scenario (If reversal signals appear)

Entry: $1,750 – $1,800 (Strong support from VPVR).

Stop Loss: $1,700.

Take Profit:

  • TP1: $1,850.
  • TP2: $1,900.
  • TP3: $2,000.

Condition: RSI rises above 40 + price holds above $1,750.

5️⃣ ETH Trend Conclusion

Main Trend: Strong downtrend, no clear recovery signals yet.

Key Resistance: $1,850 – $1,900 (EMA50 + VPVR).

Strong Support: $1,750 – $1,800 (Low liquidity zone + previous bottom).

Primary Strategy: Short following the trend, Long only if strong reversal signals occur.

⚠️ Wait for confirmation of price reaction at $1,750 before entering any trades! 🚀

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