
ETH/USDT Analysis – 1H Timeframe on April 13
1️⃣ ETH Market Structure & Trend (SMC)
- Main Trend: Still bearish, but signs of accumulation are appearing.
- Break of Structure (BoS): The price has not broken through the key resistance zone of $1,900.
- Supply Zone (Resistance): $1,900 – $1,950 (VPVR + EMA50).
- Demand Zone (Support): $1,750 – $1,800 (Recent bottom).
2️⃣ Volume Profile (VPVR)
- POC (Point of Control): ~$1,875 (Price is retesting the POC; reaction needs to be observed).
- High Volume Node (HVN): $1,850 – $1,950 (Significant accumulation zone).
- Low Volume Node (LVN): ~$1,750 (If rejected at POC, it may retest this area).
3️⃣ EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
- EMA200 (Purple): ~$2,175 – The trend remains bearish with no clear reversal signals.
- EMA50 (Red): ~$2,057 – Price is attempting to test the EMA50, awaiting breakout confirmation.
🔹 If the price holds above EMA50 and POC, a short-term recovery could occur.
🔹 If rejected at EMA50, the bearish trend is likely to continue.
4️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- RSI (14): ~70.46 – Near overbought territory, increasing the likelihood of selling pressure.
🎯 PLAN – Trading Strategy
📉 Short Scenario (Preferable following the main trend)
- Entry: $1,900 – $1,950 (Resistance Zone + EMA50).
- Stop Loss: $1,970.
- Take Profit:
- TP1: $1,850.
- TP2: $1,800.
- TP3: $1,750.
Condition: RSI is overbought, and the price fails to break through $1,950.
📈 Long Scenario (High Risk, Requires Breakout Confirmation)
- Entry: $1,875 – $1,900 (Price holds above POC).
- Stop Loss: $1,850.
- Take Profit:
- TP1: $1,950.
- TP2: $2,000.
- TP3: $2,050.
Condition: Candle closes above $1,900 with strong volume.
5️⃣ Conclusion
- Main Trend: Bearish, with the price testing a key resistance zone.
- Strong Resistance: $1,900 – $1,950 (EMA50 + VPVR).
- Key Support: $1,750 – $1,800.
- Primary Strategy: Short if rejected at EMA50, Long if a clear breakout occurs.
⚠️ Wait for price confirmation at $1,900 before making any trading decisions! 🚀
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